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Fact Check: Planetary Tides Don’t Drive Climate Change, CO2 Does

By Vivek Saini

Claim: Global warming is due to planetary tidal forces on the solar surface, not CO2.

Fact: The study mentioned in the post likely references research on the influence of planetary tides on solar activity. It’s important to note that while this effect exists, it is weak and unlikely to directly cause significant changes in solar output that would drive global warming. The consensus among the vast majority of scientists (over 97%) is that human activities, primarily the burning of fossil fuels, are the leading cause of global warming by increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations, particularly carbon dioxide (CO2).

Claim Post:

What does the post say

This post argues that global warming is not a result of CO2 emissions but rather the gravitational pull of planets – specifically Venus, Earth, and Jupiter – exerting tidal forces on the Sun’s surface. It draws a comparison to the Moon’s impact on Earth’s tides. However, it’s crucial to note that while the tidal forces are acknowledged, they are weak and unlikely to trigger instabilities within the Sun’s plasma, which would ultimately affect its magnetic field and Earth’s climate. The post also undermines the role of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, a well-established factor in global warming. It suggests it is not the primary driver and may not contribute significantly.

What we found 

Misleading. The claim that planetary tidal forces on the Sun are the primary driver of global warming contradicts established scientific understanding. Here’s a breakdown:

Limited Impact of Planetary Tides: The study referenced in the post likely refers to research by the Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR) focusing on a potential indirect influence of tidal forces on the Sun’s magnetic field. This theory proposes that the tidal troops trigger instabilities in the Sun’s plasma, potentially affecting the magnetic field. However, this is a complex and emerging area of research, and the impact on Earth’s climate remains highly speculative. While the Sun experiences tidal forces from planets, their effect is minuscule compared to the Sun’s internal processes that generate its immense energy output. NASA explains that the Sun’s energy comes from nuclear fusion in its core, not external gravitational forces. 

Decades of research by highly reputable bodies like the IPCC overwhelmingly support the link between human activities and rising CO2 concentrations driving global warming. A study published in Earth’s Future, a respected scientific journal, established a strong correlation between increasing CO2, primarily from fossil fuel use, and the observed global temperature rise. CO2 acts like a heat-trapping blanket around Earth, similar to a greenhouse. This trapped heat disrupts Earth’s energy balance, leading to a gradual warming of the planet. 

The National Academies of Sciences comprehensively assesses climate change evidence, solidifying the well-established role of CO2 emissions as the primary driver of global warming. These findings underscore the urgency of addressing human-caused CO2 emissions to mitigate climate change impacts, emphasizing the crucial role each individual plays in this global issue.

The Greenhouse Effect and CO2: Understanding the Science Behind Global Warming

The concept of the greenhouse effect is fundamental to comprehending the science behind global warming. Imagine sunlight reaching Earth’s surface, warming the planet. However, a portion of this heat radiates back into space. Greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere, like carbon dioxide (CO2), play a critical role by acting like a blanket. These gasses trap some of the outgoing heat, causing a gradual warming effect.

CO2: The Main Culprit: Among greenhouse gasses, CO2 is the most significant contributor emitted through human activities. Burning fossil fuels like coal, oil, and natural gas releases enormous quantities of CO2 into the atmosphere. Decades of meticulous research by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a body representing the consensus of the world’s leading climate scientists, have established a clear and irrefutable link between rising CO2 concentrations and global warming. This link is not based on mere speculation; it’s a well-established fact supported by overwhelming scientific evidence.

The IPCC, the leading international body for assessing climate change, provides comprehensive reports outlining the evidence for human-caused climate change. Emphasizes the unequivocal human influence on the global climate system and the observed warming trends.

Consequences of a CO2-Warmed Planet: The implications of a CO2-warmed planet are already being felt around the globe. Rising sea levels threaten coastal communities, displacing populations and jeopardizing infrastructure. Extreme weather events like heat waves, droughts, and floods are becoming more frequent and intense, impacting ecosystems, agriculture, and human health. These events are directly linked to the changing climate driven by increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, mainly CO2. This should serve as a stark reminder of the urgent need to address CO2 emissions and work towards a sustainable future.

A study published in Science Magazine highlights the observed changes in temperature and precipitation extremes across the globe. The research connects these changes to anthropogenic (human-caused) climate change. Addressing CO2 emissions is crucial to mitigating climate change and ensuring a sustainable future for our planet. Transitioning to cleaner energy sources, implementing energy efficiency measures, and protecting natural carbon sinks like forests are all essential steps toward reducing atmospheric CO2 concentrations and mitigating the effects of global warming.

Planetary Tidal Forces and Global Warming: Separating Fact from Fiction

The social media post also mentioned planetary tidal forces influencing global warming. While the Sun experiences tidal forces from planets like Venus, Earth, and Jupiter, their impact on its energy output pales compared to the internal processes that generate its immense power.

Limited Impact of Planetary Forces on the Sun: Imagine the Sun as a giant nuclear furnace. Its energy originates from nuclear fusion in its core, where tremendous amounts of energy are released through mass conversion into energy. The gravitational influence of planets on the Sun, while present, is minuscule compared to the colossal forces unleashed within its core.

For a deeper understanding of the Sun’s energy production and the dominance of nuclear fusion, consider referring to scientific resources like Our Sun, published in Living Reviews in Solar Physics. This comprehensive review details the processes powering the Sun and highlights the negligible effect of external forces on its energy output. Additionally, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine’s report “The New Solar System” emphasizes the Sun’s internal processes as the primary driver of its energy output.

Emerging Theory: Tidal Forces and the Sun’s Magnetic Field: Acknowledging ongoing scientific exploration is essential. Some research delves into the potential for tidal forces to indirectly influence the Sun’s behavior. For instance, research published in The Astrophysical Journal Letters explores the possibility that tidal forces might trigger instabilities in the Sun’s coronal plasma, potentially affecting the solar wind and the Sun’s magnetic field. However, this is a complex and emerging study area, and the impact on Earth’s climate remains highly speculative. Most scientific evidence points towards CO2 emissions as the primary driver of global warming.

In conclusion, while planetary tidal forces influencing the Sun is an exciting area of ongoing research, the lack of significant evidence and minimal impact compared to the Sun’s internal processes make it unlikely to be an important factor in global warming. The overwhelming scientific consensus firmly places CO2 emissions at the forefront of human-caused climate change.

References:

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024

https://phys.org/news/2019-05-corroborates-planetary-tidal-solar.html

https://science.nasa.gov/solar-system

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide

https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/25733/climate-change-evidence-and-causes-update-2020

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/44669/noaa_44669_DS1.pdf

https://link.springer.com/journal/41116

https://nap.nationalacademies.org/read/12383/chapter/9

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-022-01882-8

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