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Multiple weather monitoring agencies announced that Earth recorded its hottest year in 2024. This alarming leap in global temperatures temporarily surpasses a critical climate threshold, which has heightened concerns among scientists and policymakers. It represents a significant step closer to the long-term consequences of climate change.
A Historic First: Crossing the 1.5°C Threshold
For the first time in recorded history, according to four major weather monitoring teams, the planet’s global average temperature exceeded the 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) threshold above pre-industrial levels for an entire year. This limit, set as a critical target under the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement, aims to mitigate the devastating effects of climate change.
The European Commission’s Copernicus Climate Service calculated the global temperature increase at 1.6°C, while Japan’s weather agency reported 1.57°C and the United Kingdom’s Met Office recorded 1.53°C. Berkeley Earth, an independent organisation founded by a climate change sceptic, reported the highest figure at 1.62°C.
Two U.S. agencies—NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)—reported slightly lower figures, estimating 2024’s warming at 1.46°C and 1.47°C, respectively. However, even these measurements underscored the undeniable upward trajectory in global temperatures.
Unprecedented Impacts of Warming
Scientists warn that the temporary breach of the 1.5°C threshold could foreshadow a more sustained rise, which would have catastrophic consequences for humanity and the natural world. If Earth remains above this limit long-term, the implications include:
These warnings come after a year already marked by deadly climate disasters. In 2024, the U.S. experienced 27 weather-related disasters, each causing damages exceeding $1 billion. As 2025 begins, devastating wildfires in southern California provide a stark reminder of the escalating climate emergency.
2024: A Year of Climate Catastrophes
Last year was characterised by record-breaking heat and extreme weather events worldwide. Heatwaves scorched parts of Europe, Asia, and North America, while catastrophic flooding displaced millions in South Asia. Drought conditions exacerbated food insecurity in Africa, and wildfires raged in Canada, the Amazon, and Australia, destroying millions of acres of forest and releasing vast amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.
Hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires, and floods were among the billion-dollar disasters in the United States. These events caused significant economic losses and underscored the urgent need for climate resilience and adaptation measures.
Why the Spike in Temperatures?
Several factors contributed to 2024’s unprecedented heat:
1. El Niño Phenomenon: The cyclical warming of the Pacific Ocean, known as El Niño, intensified global temperatures.
2. Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Human activities, notably the burning of fossil fuels, continued to release significant quantities of carbon dioxide and methane, trapping heat in the atmosphere.
3. Climate Feedback Loops: Melting ice caps, deforestation, and other feedback mechanisms accelerated warming.
Scientists emphasise that while El Niño added to the heat, the primary driver remains human-induced climate change.
What This Means for the Future?
The temporary breach of the 1.5°C threshold in 2024 serves as a critical wake-up call. Although some agencies suggest the planet remains marginally below this limit on a longer-term average, the steady rise in temperatures indicates that crossing this line permanently is a growing possibility.
This scenario would make achieving the Paris Agreement’s goals increasingly tricky. Scientists and climate advocates stress the need for immediate action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and transition to renewable energy sources.
“Every fraction of a degree matters,” said climate scientist Zeke Hausfather of Berkeley Earth. “The impacts of climate change worsen significantly with each incremental rise in temperature.”
References:
https://www.noaa.gov/news/2024-was-worlds-warmest-year-on-record
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/01/09/climate/2024-heat-record-climate-goal.html
https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement
https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/ninonina.html
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